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Gaming Gurus: Strategy Expert Article Archive - Page 838
Here's something different you can do for VALENTINE'S DAY6 February 2003
Here's something different you can do for VALENTINE'S DAY ... get
married at GOLD STRIKE CASINO RESORT. The casino is running a special
Valentine's weekend special and that will let you and your significant
other say "I DO" in their Golden Hearts Chapel...read moreBest-Case Money Management Scenario - Part 16 February 2003
Last time I mentioned that we talk about money management in losing
situations more frequently than in winning situations because the house
edge against us makes it more likely that we'll be behind than ahead.
This time let's look at some money management ideas for when we're ahead.
As I've said before, money management to me has two goals: to ensure
that your bankroll lasts as long as your visit and to make your visit
more fun by removing some of the stress involved in dealing with money...read moreOnline Casino Job Posting Resources5 February 2003 In recent years new legislation has opened the door for thousands of new jobs within the casino gaming industry, including everything from dealers and cashiers to waiters and security personnel. In addition the casino industry provides a large number of employment opportunities for individuals with many years of business, regulatory or community experience...read moreSlot Machines Worth Their Weight in Gold5 February 2003
Slot machines have had a profound impact on the value of horse racing
properties nationwide. One industry insider told me: “It is remarkable
to me that within the last three years, Gulfstream Park, Santa Anita and
Hollywood Park (three of America’s most prestigious thoroughbred tracks)
have all sold...read moreNew Slots from IGT4 February 2003
It was the last day of the Global Gaming Expo in Las Vegas, and I was
taking advantage of the thinning crowds to get a good look at new games
in the IGT booth. IGT is the world's largest manufacturer of slot
machines, always has the biggest, most varied collection at the fall
gaming industry show and also draws crowds so big that I can't always
get near the games on the first couple of days.
At the booth, I spotted a familiar face...read moreThe Enduring Effect of Match Play Coupons on House Edge4 February 2003 "Match play" coupons are common casino promotional incentives. The idea is
to combine chips and coupons of equal face value into a bet worth twice
the real money actually set out. Losing costs both the chips and coupons.
Winning pays according to the total of the two parts, returning the chip
portion but not the coupons.
Monetarily, a coupon is worth somewhat under half its denominated value...read moreHell's Kitchen3 February 2003 Dear Mark,Hell broke out at our kitchen table poker game last
Friday night. Quite an argument ignited over the following hand in pai gow
poker. Does the five card straight of 9-10-J-Q-K beat an A-2-3-4-5 straight? Scooter T...read morePopular Fallacies That Aren't - Part 23 February 2003
Some notions gamblers have about gambling are both common and completely
misguided.
These ideas often have a basis in truth, however, though the connection
between the idea and the reality is often tenuous.
Lets look at idea of quitting while ahead.
The reasoning is: You are certain to be ahead at some point during a
session...read moreCity Picks, Euler, and the Ditsy Coat Check Girl2 February 2003
One of the interesting things about doing gaming analysis is that every
now and then I discover a clever piece of mathematics that is just the
thing I need to complete a job. Unfortunately, I don't always discover
the mathematics I need. A year or so ago I was asked to look at a video
game that was based on both geometry and Poker hands. Try as I did, I
just couldn't see a way to analyze the game nor did I recall any
mathematics that I felt would help me out. To this day I'm baffled by
this game and occasionally I go back and take another look at it --
frustrating. Happily, this doesn't happen that often, usually things
work out. Here is just such a story.
I am writing a book about state lotteries which should be published
sometime this spring. The title is The Lottery Book, The Truth
Behind the Numbers and it is being published by Bonus Books of
Chicago. The Foreword to the book is by Frank Scoblete. In it I
analyze just about every state lottery game in the country and explain
to the reader just how such analyses are carried out. As you might
imagine, I ran into some unusual games whose analyses required some
serious thought. To my mind, the most notable of these was provided by
the state of Wisconsin.
Wisconsin has a lottery game called City Picks. Here is how it is
played. The player is provided with nine Wisconsin cities: Chippewa
Falls, Dodgeville, Green Bay, Kenosha, Madison, Milwaukee, Superior, Two
Rivers, and Wisconsin Rapids. To play City Picks the bettor simply
arranges these nine cities in order 1 through 9. The Wisconsin State
Lottery then randomly arranges these same cities in a different order,
again 1 through 9. The player is paid according to how many of his
numbered choices match the lottery's numbered choices. Since I cover
the game in detail in my book, I'm not going to repeat the complete
analysis here. Suffice it to say, however, that in order to carry out
such an analysis one must determine how many of the 9! or 362,880
permutations of these cities occur as no matches, one match, two
matches, and so on. Let me show you an example.
Suppose for a given lottery ordering we want to determine how many
ways we can produce an ordering of ours that has exactly 5 matches.
Well, we first have to choose which 5 of the 9 numbers will be our
matches. This is old stuff to us by now; it is just the number of way
of picking 5 things from a set of 9 and is the number 9!/(4!5!) or 126.
Now for each such choice the remaining 4 numbers have to not match those
of the same remaining 4 lottery choices. In mathematical jargon, they
have to be a derangement of the lottery's choices. Let's take a
closer look at this.
Consider the integers 1 2 3 4 in that order. How many ways can we
rearrange these numbers so that there are no matches in the
rearrangement? For a small number like 4 this is relatively easy, we
can just list them. The derangements are:
2 3 4 1 3 4 2 1 2 1 4 3
2 4 1 3 4 1 2 3 3 1 4 2
3 4 1 2 4 3 1 2 4 3 2 1
There are 9 of them. Thus the number of ways of getting exactly 5
matches in the City Picks game is 126 x 9 or 1,134.
For larger numbers it is not feasible to list all of the
derangements. For example, if we consider the derangements of 1 2 3 4 5
6, there are 265 of them and these derangements increase rapidly as the
number of integers increases. So, in general, how do we determine
derangements? The answer goes all the way back to the Swiss
mathematician Leonhard Euler (1707 - 1783). Euler gave a simple
recursion relation for generating the number of derangements. Here's
how it works.
Let dn denote the number of
derangements of the integers 1, 2, 3, ..., n. Clearly if
n = 1 then d1 = 0. If n = 2 then the
only derangement of 1 2 is 2 1 so d2= 1.
Euler's recursion relation is
dn = (n - 1)(dn - 1
+ dn - 2)
(1)
If we let n = 3 in (1) then we have
d3 = (3 - 1)(d2 + d
1) = 2(1 + 0) = 2
(2)
Since we now have d3and d2we can let
n = 4 in (1) and obtain
d4 = (4 - 1)(d3 + d
2) = 3(2 + 1) = 9
(3)
which, as we saw in our example, is exactly right. One can continue
with this "bootstrap" operation as long as one wants. I won't prove to
you that (1) is correct, but you can contact me by email (just click on
Technigame at the end of this article) if you would like to see a proof.
By doing a bit of algebra using (1) and recalling some calculus, one
can show that the expression dn / n! gets
arbitrarily close to the number 1/e as n gets large, e
being the ubiquitous base of the natural logarithms...read moreParadise Is a Pretty Nice Place1 February 2003
I’ve been to Paradise recently, and I have to say that Paradise is a
pretty nice place. Wondering how to find this Paradise? Look no further
than the Atlantis Casino Resort in Reno. I decided to drop in the
other evening before dinner (mistake) and decided to hang out for a bit
up in the Skywalk, between the Pillars of Hercules, where there is a
wonderfully elegant Oyster Bar, with displays of oysters and King Crab
legs that get that old saliva flowing...read more |
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