Top 10 Super Bowl LVII bets

Yesterday, both the Philadelphia Eagles and the Kansas City Chiefs arrived in Phoenix for a week of preparation before taking the field Sunday in Super Bowl LVII. The NFC Champs are slightly favored (-1.5) over the best from the AFC. The moneyline is just the tip of the iceberg as many know when it comes to Super Bowl betting. There is a plethora of different types of wagers to make, and we have 10 that drew our attention ahead of the Big Game.

10. Coin toss
We’ll start off the betting with the captains meeting at midfield prior to the game. Since 1989, it has been pretty even when it comes to the coin toss results. Heads has shown up 27 times and tails 29 times. However, the team choosing heads won the last two Super Bowls, and for some reason, people will forget that it is always a 50/50 chance and believe that tails “is due.”

We are going the other direction and riding with heads to land for a third-straight Super Bowl. If you are looking to place a bet with zero strategy and just want some stake in the game, then this is the wager for you to go after and hope for the best.

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9. Gatorade color
In the you can bet on pretty much everything category is the color of the Gatorade that will be poured on the winning Super Bowl LVII head coach. Three years ago, the Kansas City Chiefs rallied to a 31-20 victory in Super Bowl LIV, and head coach Andy Reid got the orange sports drink poured over his head. Five years ago, when the Philadelphia Eagles shocked the New England Patriots, 41-33, in Super Bowl LII, head coach Doug Pederson took a Lime/Green bath.

Fast forward to this year, and the odds on the Gatorade are much like the spread on the game, meaning there’s not much movement. If you’re going with the Chiefs then you should know that Reid is a creature of habit with his food preferences, so you should stick with the color orange, which is hovering around +250/+275. However, if you’re going with the Eagles, then you might want to roll the dice and go with purple at +900/+1000, as Sirianni won three National Championships at Division III Mount Union in Ohio, and its mascot is the Purple Raiders.

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8. First play of the game
Regardless of the team that wins the coin toss, it would not be surprising for that team to defer, kick off and play defense first. Both teams scored exactly 546 points so far this year and they didn’t get to that number by playing conservatively.

Now I am not predicting a 60-yard bomb on the opening play, but an opening drive pass play seems more likely than a run. Something like a five- or six-yard out route to get an easy completion and help its quarterback settle down. With Andy Reid’s creativity and Kansas City quarterback Patrick Mahomes’ ability to change arm angles with the occasional lefty throw, you never can predict the type of pass play the Chiefs will dial up.

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Both teams have scored the same amount of points leading up to Super Bowl LVII ?? pic.twitter.com/o8W92odW7S
— FOX Sports: NFL (@NFLonFOX) February 2, 2023

7. Chiefs to score first
Kansas City’s play-calling has a reputation of being somewhat unpredictable with trick plays here and there. One thing you can expect when it comes to its offense, is that the ball will get in the hands of Travis Kelce eventually. Let me also just mention that the Eagles’ center is Travis’ brother Jason and the two will be the first brothers to play in the same Super Bowl.

As the biggest offensive threat, besides Mahomes, Travis Kelce will obviously be a main focus for the Eagles’ defense, and especially the secondary, to not allow him to get too far up field because he is a tough man to bring down.

Early on could be an opportunity for Kelce to get his touches before the Philly defense makes in-game adjustments to find ways to stop him. There could also be early success for Mahomes and company, including the offensive line as they’ll be fresh and not tired from dealing with an amazing front seven on the Philly defense.

A point of emphasis for KC should be to get in front of the Eagles in the first quarter, because you do not want to play from behind against a defensive line like the one they have and the running quarterback Jalen Hurts they have on the offensive side.

Bet $110 on the Chiefs to score first to win $100 on Everygame Sportsbook

Despite his injured ankle, @PatrickMahomes completed every single pass when he was outside of the pocket or on the run ?? pic.twitter.com/cfrwaPfAXp
— Kansas City Chiefs (@Chiefs) February 3, 2023

6. Game tied after first score
Many are predicting a tight battle for this contest between the high-powered AFC offense and the hard-hitting, QB-pressuring NFC defense.

If the Chiefs do score first, the way the Eagles will have to attack offensively is to go after the Chiefs’ secondary. which isn’t as strong compared to those usually on the four man rush. Receivers A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith both broke 1,000 receiving yards this season. Get the ball to your playmakers and that is what I expect Hurts to do when he isn’t off and running.

This game should be an old-fashioned boxing match as teams trade scoring punches. Don’t be surprised if this game is tied nearly a handful of times throughout the four quarters and it comes down to the wire.

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5. Pacheco any time touchdown
Isiah Pacheco is a rookie running back out of Rutgers and a seventh-round pick for the Chiefs. Not many would’ve guessed he would be at the top of the depth chart for backs.

Reid has made it clear he wants to get the young speedster involved more in the offense. In the AFC Championship game, Pacheco totaled 15 touches and another 13 in the Divisional Round.

Look for him to be another key piece, including in the red zone where you will see at least two defensive bodies following Kelce around to prevent Mahomes from connecting with his primary target. In order to keep the dangerous pass rushers of the Eagles honest, the Chiefs will have to attempt to establish some sort of run game as well with Pacheco.

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4. No team to score three times in a row
Reid and Philadelphia coach Nick Sirianni have shown their aggressiveness throughout the regular season, so if you stop an offense on third and short, don’t anticipate the punting or kicking unit to come trotting out on the field. These two teams aren’t looking to settle for three points too often, they want seven at all times.

Even though there could be a lot of scores in this game because of the offensive ability on both sides, this game should be a back-and-forth fight. Both know how to play with a lead and the other can’t fall too far behind or else it could be over before you know it.

Keeping pace and staying within striking distance will be a key factor, and in order to do that, you can’t let the other team rattle off a big run of scores.

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3. Largest lead under 14.5 points
Both teams putting up the same amount of points this year speaks to how evenly powerful these offenses are. The defenses aren’t all that far apart from each other either. I am going to disregard the playoff numbers because in the NFC Championship, the Eagles faced a team that could not throw the ball due to several quarterbacks getting injured.

In the regular season, Philly allowed just 20.2 points per contest and Kansas City followed them at 21.7 points allowed per game. With the offensive numbers being identical, and the defensive numbers not having a huge gap, this game should be close throughout most of the four quarters. I don’t see either team really pulling away over a two-score lead.

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2. Total team sacks
Both Super Bowl LVII teams come into the game with their respective sack specialists.

Defensive tackle Chris Jones leads the way for the Kansas City Chiefs, as he’s coming off a two-sack, five-quarterback hits, and six quarterback pressures in the 23-20 victory over the Cincinnati Bengals in the AFC Championship game, not to mention he recorded 15.5 sacks in the regular season.

Linebacker Haason Reddick is the straw that stirs the defensive drink for the Philadelphia Eagles, as he’s coming off a two-sack, fumble-strip recovery in the 31-7 win over the San Francisco 49ers in the NFC Championship game. Reddick’s three-and-a-half total sacks in this year’s playoffs in addition to his regular season total leaves him at 19.5 for the season.

With the over/under hovering around +5.5/+6.5 depending on the sportsbook, take the over, not only because of these two offensive nightmares, but also because of there being two mobile quarterbacks provided Mahomes’ ankle is okay, and because with five more total sacks as a team the Eagles will finish the year with 83, which would be the most in NFL History.

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1. Eagles -1.5
Well it wouldn’t be right if we didn’t discuss a winner. I’ve mentioned Kelce and Mahomes quite a few times, but the players that will win this game will be the pass rushers on the Eagles.

Philly has five players with eight or more sacks this season and four with at least 12. Mahomes, you better have your ankle healthy enough to get out of the pocket because when it collapses, these guys do not miss out on a sack opportunity.

As the game goes on, the amount of different pass rushers that the Eagles can throw at the offensive line of KC will physically drain the big fellas up front and toward the end of the game, it won’t be a shocker for many to see Mahomes under constant pressure.

If the Eagles offense can hold up its end of the bargain and put up some points, the defense will tire out the KC line and offense, and come up with a late stop to secure the victory.

Bet $110 on Eagles to cover -1.5 to win $100 on bet365

Patrick Mahomes will have his hands full with the elite Eagles defensive line ?? pic.twitter.com/LNLN1I7MEk
— PFF (@PFF) February 2, 2023