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Casino City's Week 10 NFL Circa Million V 2023 Pro Football Contest Picks

10 November 2023

Back-to-back weeks of over .500 for the Casino City team’s picks and our journey to turning this season around continues. As we head into Week 10, let’s take a look at our picks with hopes of continuing our recent success.

Indianapolis -2 over New England
Get ready to watch football earlier than usual again as the Indianapolis Colts and New England Patriots square off in Frankfurt, Germany.

For Patriots fans, this season has been nothing but a disappointment and watching the offense have another sub-par year, (we are being generous there) has brought frustration. For the Colts, losing their rookie QB Anthony Richardson to a season-ending injury in Week 4 began the season with negativity, but it hasn’t been all bad and they are not completely out of the playoff hunt yet with a 4-5 record.

Getting to .500 on the season with a win Sunday would be massive, considering they have one of the easier remaining schedules in football. QB Gardner Minshew has held down the fort in Richardson’s absence. He hasn’t done anything special but he has kept his team in places where they have chances to win.

The Colts could be without receiver Josh Downs, but Michael Pittman Jr. is more than capable of being the primary target as he has been for most of the season. The running duo of Zack Moss and Jonathan Taylor, who both are tough to tackle, will give the Patriots’ front seven some issues.

For New England, the name of the game is injuries on offense. Already having major problems to get the ball in the endzone, New England will be without several receiving weapons in Kendrick Bourne and DeVante Parker. This limits where QB Mac Jones can get the ball to, but another big loss is left tackle Trent Brown will not play Sunday and he protects Mac’s blind spot. With a QB who tends to panic when pressure gets through, look to see the Colts sending more than four rushers often.

Cincinnati -6.5 over Houston
Have the Bengals finally found their rhythm? It looks to be that way as they have rattled off four wins in a row. The offense is starting to click and Burrow looks to be able to move around the pocket again after dealing with a leg injury for a few weeks.

Cincinnati will be tested, however, as Tee Higgins has already been ruled out and Ja’Marr Chase is questionable after taking a hard fall in Sunday night’s win over Buffalo. Tyle Boyd is going to have to pick up a lot of slack already with Higgins out but hopefully Chase is good to go for this Bengals’ offense.

If you think those injuries are a problem, just hold on a second. Take a look at the Houston Texans injury report. On Thursday, 23 players were listed on the injury report. Yes, 23! While C.J. Stroud has been remarkable in his rookie season, having a team with spots to fill all over the field is a really tough challenge for him.

The Texans also have struggled on the road this season with a 1-3 record, where the Bengals have a solid 3-1 record at Paycor Stadium.

Minnesota +2.5 over New Orleans
In most things in life, chemistry is very important, but especially in team sports. However, every once in a while, that myth is broken, like it was last Sunday by newly-acquired quarterback Josh Dobbs. The signal caller, who barely knew anyone’s name on the team, let alone the Vikings’ plays or terminology, was forced into action due to injuries, and he led Minnesota to a last-second come-from-behind 31-28 victory in Atlanta. Dobbs did a little bit of everything as he completed 20-of-30 passes for 158 yards and two scores, plus he also rushed seven times for 66 yards and a touchdown. Imagine what Dobbs can do at home with a week of practice for the 5-4 overall Vikings. Of course, a leader is only as good as the cast around him, which is why it will be important for tight end T.J. Hockenson, who’s listed as questionable with a rib injury, to play as wide receiver K.J. Osborn is in the concussion protocol. One player who is not questionable is linebacker Danielle Hunter as he leads the NFL with 10 sacks.

Consistency is key to achieve any progress. And while the offense hasn’t been all that reliable despite Saints posting a 5-4 overall record, the defense has been on point, including during last week’s 24-17 home victory against Chicago. New Orleans, which is tied with Jacksonville for the league lead with 18 total turnovers forced, picked off three and scooped up three fumbles. Speaking of turnovers, quarterback David Carr is hoping to put last week’s four interception game in the rearview mirror. On the season Carr has thrown for 2,121 yards and 10 scores, and while it helps to have running back Alvin Kamara in the backfield with him, the real spark plug for New Orleans has been jack-of-all-trades Taysom Hill. Last week, it was the backup signal caller and tight end who threw for and hauled in touchdowns to will New Orleans to a win.

The Vikings will extend their winning streak to five games and improve to 6-4-1 ATS behind a defense that has ranked seventh in scoring defense over the winning streak. Plus, it helps that the Saints are a lowly 2-6-1 ATS this season.

Green Bay +3 over Pittsburgh
After losing four straight, Aaron Jones returning 100% to the Green Bay Packers couldn’t have come sooner as the offense took a big step forward in the 20-3 win over the Los Angeles Rams. Jones had 99 yards from scrimmage with a touchdown on his way to help the team to their season high in both total yards and rush yards.

With a 1-3 record on the road, Packers’ QB Jordan Love is going to have to convert red-zone trips into touchdowns and not just settle for field goals which has been a big part of the offensive struggles this season for Green Bay. The same goes for Pittsburgh and their QB Kenny Pickett.

Pittsburgh’s defense has carried the load for most of the season. With a 5-3 record, not many would guess the Steelers would have the chance to move to 6-3 with how the offense has looked for a majority of the year, especially since they have been outgained in every game this season, but here we are.

If Green Bay wants any hopes to stay alive for playoff football, a win to get to 4-5 this week is basically a must.

The #Packers posted season highs in total yards (391), rushing yards (184) & time of possession (35:16) in Week 9.

Much of that had to do with how Green Bay finished the game. ??#GoPackGo

— Green Bay Packers (@packers) November 9, 2023

Buffalo -7 over Denver
This is a get-right game for the Bills, if there ever was one. Following last week’s Sunday Night Football 24-18 road loss, Buffalo finds itself sitting at 5-4 overall and outside of the playoff picture if the season ended today. What’s worse is that things aren’t going to get any easier for the Bills as they still have to face the New York Jets, Philadelphia Eagles, Kansas City Chiefs, and Dallas Cowboys over the following four weeks.

The time is now for Buffalo to put the pieces together and it starts this week with quarterback Josh Allen at home. Through the first half of the season, he’s thrown for 2,423 and 18 scores, but he’s fifth in interceptions thrown with nine, including one in each of the last five games. It should come as no surprise that wide receiver Stefon Diggs is Allen’s favorite target as he’s recorded 70 receptions and seven touchdowns, but he can’t do it all for the offense. Nor can he help a defense that’s dropping players like flies to injury, and now has allowed 370 yards per game over the last five weeks after only letting up 288 yards through the first four weeks of the season.

The Broncos come in off a bye after finally exercised their demons also known as the Kansas City Chiefs two weeks ago when they picked up a 24-9 home victory. It was the first time in 17 meetings that Denver has been able to secure a win against the Chiefs, and now it’s time to come back to reality. While the Broncos have won three games, that was their Super Bowl, and there’s nothing that shows that head coach Sean Payton can turn this into anything special this year. The main reason why is quarterback Russell Wilson, who’s thrown for fewer than 120 yards five times in his career, and two of those games are over Denver’s past three games. Without a threat from under center, it’s making it hard for the offense to establish any type of run-pass balance.

The Bills are 4-0 in Orchard Park, and this week they’ll remain perfect as they catch the Broncos, who are 0-2-1 ATS on the road, basking in their win over Patrick Mahomes.

Week 9 Results: 3-2
Season Record: 17-26-2
Casino City's Week 10 NFL Circa Million V 2023 Pro Football Contest Picks is republished from
Dan Ippolito

As Casino City's associate editor, Dan produces and edits all of our weekly newsletters, and writes about the gaming industry for our websites and the GPWA Times Magazine. Dan graduated from Marist College in 2017 with a degree in Communications and a concentration in Sports. Email him at, or follow him at @casinocity_dan on Twitter.
Dan Ippolito
As Casino City's associate editor, Dan produces and edits all of our weekly newsletters, and writes about the gaming industry for our websites and the GPWA Times Magazine. Dan graduated from Marist College in 2017 with a degree in Communications and a concentration in Sports. Email him at, or follow him at @casinocity_dan on Twitter.