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Ask the Slot Expert: Readers weigh in on Ivey's edge sorting case28 March 2018
Last week I posted an article about how Phil Ivey and his partner used a technique called edge sorting to win about $20 million playing baccarat and Punto Banco, a game similar to baccarat. Ivey lost both of the court cases related to his winnings, one filed in New Jersey and the other in the United Kingdom. I thought what Ivey did amounted to cheating and asked for others' opinions. First, a brief recap. The pattern used on the backs of some playing cards causes the pattern to be slightly different on the left edge than on the right edge when the cards are cut. If a player can do something to cause the player-favorable cards to to be oriented one way and the casino-favorable cards oriented the other, the player can know whether the top card in the shoe is player-favorable or casino-favorable and bet accordingly. What Ivey and his partner did, at least in the U.K., was: (1) request a private game of Punto Banco, (2) request that a particular style of cards be used — a style that exhibits the edge pattern quirk, (3) request that the dealers rotate the player-favorable cards as they came out of the shoe, and (4) request that the cards be reused for the subsequent shoes instead of using brand new decks (which is standard practice). After the first shoe, with the cards now arranged so the player-favorable cards were oriented differently than the casino-favorable cards, Ivey and his partner were able to bet big when the top card in the shoe was favorable to him and small when it was not. As the cards were used for more and more shoes, Ivey's bets grew bigger and more accurate. After two days, the casino insisted that the cards in the shoe be replaced. In the court cases, Ivey never denied what he had done. He considered edge sorting to be "legitimate gamesmanship." The casinos considered it cheating. I agreed that it was cheating because Ivey had to manipulate the casino employees into creating the conditions that allowed him to win. It wasn't the same as using dice control at a craps table or counting cards at blackjack where you use your skill against the standard game and you don't request any changes to procedures or equipment. Ivey's method required specific equipment and changes to standard casino procedures. Not everyone agreed with me. Here are a few comments. I think Phil Ivey is a genius and the casinos deserve to lose. They obliged him. He requested things — and they did them for him! At some point the light bulb should have gone off in a casino pit boss's head. Furthermore, if by doing this, Phil lost say $1 million and sued the casino to get it back, it'd say, "No way!" Well, I admit that you have a point. The casino employees are supposed to be protect the integrity of the games and maybe somebody should have been suspicious sooner. If you've ever watched a game at the big baccarat table — the one in the high limit room where the players get to touch and deal the cards — you'd see a lot of superstitions and strange behavior. The casinos at first wrote off Ivey's behavior as superstitious, not suspicious.
It's interesting that you also speculated about what would have happened had Ivey lost. Ivey winning and losing are not comparable situations. Casinos really like it when only luck is in play. When a game is decided by pure luck, the probabilities prove out in the long run and the casino knows it will get its house edge. When skill comes into play, the probabilities change and player skill eats into the house edge. Though casinos may sometimes take measures against skillful players, they reluctantly acknowledge that some players will be legitimately skillful and they tolerate their play. Cheating, no matter how much dexterity or skill is required, is not skill at playing the game. Casinos have the statutory right to recover money they lost through cheating. It's true that the only reason Ivey got caught is because he won. But the scrutiny he got falls under protecting game integrity. If he had won without any shenanigans, the casino would have paid him his winnings. Casinos moreover don't have an obligation to stop a game if a cheater's cheating method isn't working. Finally, the argument against the casino, the loser, is that it was responsible for its losses because it accommodated all of Ivey's requests. Turnabout is fair play. If Ivey lost, then he, the loser, would be responsible for his losses because his method didn't work.
Finally someone who agrees with me that Ivey cheated. Unlike in torts, there's no concept of contributory negligence in casino cheating. Even if the casino is partially at fault in the cheating incident, the cheater must return 100% of the ill-gotten gains. The casino's comeuppance comes in fines from the gaming commission, not in letting the cheater keep a percentage of the winnings. Send your slot and video poker questions to John Robison, Slot Expert™, at slotexpert@slotexpert.com. Because of the volume of mail I receive, I regret that I can't reply to every question.
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