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Gaming Guru
Ask the Slot Expert: No one can steal your slot jackpot10 December 2014
This writer is referring to a reference I made to another gaming author in my columns two and three weeks ago. Frank Scoblete and I got into an infinite loop with this author going back and forth on the validity of principles of probability and statistics that have been proven out over hundreds of years. One of the principles he wouldn't accept is the Gambler's Fallacy — the belief that past events influence the likelihood of future events. That is, he would not accept that the Fallacy is indeed a fallacy. Two sayings about gamblers:
In last week's column, I commented that I grade casinos and their hotels based on how well the operators keep the properties and lamented the fact that none of Atlantic City's casinos got better than a B. Thanks for pointing out that there is an Atlantic City casino that is raising the bar.
Thanks for the kind words about my columns. I used to go to the Mirage Resorts shareholder meetings. It was always interesting to hear Steve Wynn talk about the current state of and the future of the gaming industry. I have to admit, though, that I found it incongruous that the refreshments at a Mirage Resorts shareholder meeting (cookies and coffee) paled in comparison with those at a Circus Circus Enterprises meeting (hot breakfast stations, made to order omelets and waffles and pancakes). (Have you ever eaten at the buffet at Circus Circus?) Of course, the times of the meetings — morning for Circus Circus (and then Mandalay Resort Group) and afternoon for Mirage had much to do with the menu.
You have it absolutely right. Just because someone hits a jackpot on a machine you have just left does not mean that you would have hit that jackpot had you stayed. It is all a matter of split-second timing and the winner just happened to hit the spin button when the RNG had selected the jackpot as the spin result. If it's going to make you upset to see someone do well on a machine that did not treat you well, then move to where you can't see the machine. But if you do stay nearby and the next player hits it big, remember that you were not necessarily going to hit it big too if you had stayed. Send your slot and video poker questions to John Robison, Slot Expert™, at slotexpert@slotexpert.com. Because of the volume of mail I receive, I regret that I can't reply to every question.
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