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Gaming Guru
Less Glitz, More Payola28 April 2005
It is very important that we do not mistakenly throw LPR away, chasing some
other type of hand which may look better but which has a lower Expected Value
(EV). As examples, the following hands are deceptive because they're worth less
if we discard one or both of the paired cards even though they seem to look
more valuable if we do so: STR4H2: the 4 card straight with 2 high cards, such as 9C 9D 10H JS QD which has an EV of 0.80. STR4H1: the 4 card straight with 1 high card, such as 8C 9D 10H 10C JS which has an EV of 0.74. SFLIH2: the 3 card straight flush (inside) with 2 high cards, 2D 2H 9S JS QS with an EV of 0.73. SFL3H1: the 3 card straight flush (outside) with 1 high card, 3D 3H 9C 10C JC with an EV of 0.72. STR4H0: the 4 card low straight (outside) with no high cards, 7H 7D 8C 9C 10S with an EV of 0.68. SFLDIH2: the 3 card straight flush (double inside) with 2 high cards 4H 4D 9S JS KS with zn EV of 0.64 Discarding LPR in any of the examples above lowers the EV below that we can attain by keeping the LPR. Reducing the EV in the type of hand we get 30% of the time can cut our payback by nearly 2% overall. The only type of straight that outranks the LPR is : STR4H3: the 4 card straight (outside) with 3 high cards, 10D 10H JC QS KD with an EV of 0.87. With this hand, we discard a ten and draw one to the possible straight. This hand should not be mixed up with its poor relation, STRIH3 the 4 card straight (inside) with 3 high cards, 10D 10H JC KS AH which we treat as LPR and draw only 3 to the pair of tens. STRIH3 has an EV of only 0.53. In summary, the low pair, LPR is the most frequent hand to be dealt out, and
its value should not be underestimated, or wasted chasing hands that may have
more glitz but less payola.
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Lenny Frome |
Lenny Frome |