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One and done

22 August 2017

Most craps players enjoy making multiple bets; in fact, many make some good low-house-edge bets (the pass line and come) mixed with some bad high-house-edge bets (the hard ways bets and many others). The average craps player is, usually more, sometimes less, an action player, looking for hits during every roll of the dice.

In truth, being an action player is exactly what the casinos want in their players — and nowhere is action more actionable than at craps, which offers bets of many varieties. A few are good; most others go from not-so-good to awful.

I am looking at an entirely different way of playing craps – the one and done way. The idea is that you only make one bet – a low-house-edge bet such as the pass line (or don't pass) or the come (or don't come), taking or laying the maximum odds or the most you can afford.

Let me show you why this method of play makes sense. If a player makes a pass line bet of $10 and is able to back it with 10x odds of $100, he is looking at a house edge of 1.41%, or long-term losses of 14 cents per $10. The odds have no house edge. So the maximum our player will bet is a mere $10. [You can make the odds 2x, 5x or however many x’s are allowed at the casino where you play.]

Now, let us take a decent player who enjoys placing the 6 and 8 for $30 each. His expectation is to lose 1.52% of his bet over time. That means for every placement of these two numbers, our player is expected to lose 91 cents. If he were to jack up his bets to $60 each, his expected losses would be $1.82.

Our one-and-done players risk a mere $10 compared to $60 or $120. Now, take a look at players who are making all manner of bets at the same time. The potential expectations are immense.

Keep this is in mind – every bet you make at the game of craps means you are playing a separate game against the casino. One bet is one game; two bets are two games; three bets are three games; and all the other multiple bets add up to more games. The more games you play against the casino, the greater the likelihood that you will be a loser.

The one-and-done method will allow a player to be in the action using our pass line as the example.

• On the come-out roll, the player has eight ways to win (on the 7 and 11) and four ways to lose (on the 2, 3 and 12). The player will have no decisions on the 4, 5, 6, 8, 9 and 10. That adds up to 24 no decisions
• Once the pass line has a number, the 7 has a chance to appear on average six times in 36 decisions. The one number the player is on will win five times on the 6 or 8; four times on the 5 or 9; and three times on the 4 or 10.
• Just add the 7 and either 6 or 8 and you are involved in 11 decisions and not involved in 25 decisions. For the 5 or 9, you are involved in 10 decisions. The 4 or 10 involves you in nine decisions.
• There will be a lot of waiting for either the 7 to hit or your number to hit. So what? The time your bet doesn’t hit is not wasted time; it is anticipation time.
• It doesn’t matter if the shooter has a hot roll because over time the mathematics work their way out – to the benefit of the casino and the detriment of the player.

I think the one and done is the best way to play craps. It is unique, yes, but it makes sense if you give it some thought.


[Read Frank Scoblete’s books I Am a Card Counter: Inside the World of Advantage-Play Blackjack, I Am a Dice Controller: Inside the World of Advantage-Play Craps and Confessions of a Wayward Catholic! All available from Amazon.com, on Kindle and electronic media, at Barnes and Noble, and at bookstores. Visit Frank’s website at www.frankscoblete.com.]
Frank Scoblete

Frank Scoblete is the #1 best selling gaming author in America. His newest books are Slots Conquest: How to Beat the Slot Machines; Everything Casino Poker: Get the Edge at Video Poker, Texas Hold'em, Omaha Hi-Lo and Pai Gow Poker!; Beat Blackjack Now: The Easiest Way to Get the Edge; Casino Craps: Shoot to Win!; Cutting Edge Craps: Advanced Strategies for Serious Players; Casino Conquest: Beat the Casinos at Their Own Games! and The Virgin Kiss.

Frank and Casino City Times columnist Jerry "Stickman" teach private lessons in dice control. Frank's books are available at Amazon.com, in bookstores or by mail order. Call 1-800-944-0406 or write to Frank Scoblete Enterprises, PO Box 446, Malverne, NY 11565. Frank can also be reached by email at fscobe@optonline.net.

Frank Scoblete Websites:

www.goldentouchcraps.com
www.goldentouchblackjack.com

Books by Frank Scoblete:

Cutting Edge Craps: Advanced Strategies for Serious Players

> More Books By Frank Scoblete

Frank Scoblete
Frank Scoblete is the #1 best selling gaming author in America. His newest books are Slots Conquest: How to Beat the Slot Machines; Everything Casino Poker: Get the Edge at Video Poker, Texas Hold'em, Omaha Hi-Lo and Pai Gow Poker!; Beat Blackjack Now: The Easiest Way to Get the Edge; Casino Craps: Shoot to Win!; Cutting Edge Craps: Advanced Strategies for Serious Players; Casino Conquest: Beat the Casinos at Their Own Games! and The Virgin Kiss.

Frank and Casino City Times columnist Jerry "Stickman" teach private lessons in dice control. Frank's books are available at Amazon.com, in bookstores or by mail order. Call 1-800-944-0406 or write to Frank Scoblete Enterprises, PO Box 446, Malverne, NY 11565. Frank can also be reached by email at fscobe@optonline.net.

Frank Scoblete Websites:

www.goldentouchcraps.com
www.goldentouchblackjack.com

Books by Frank Scoblete:

> More Books By Frank Scoblete