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Alan Krigman Gaming Guru - Page 51

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Why It's Easy to Believe Rare Events Happen All the Time

8 July 2003
Assume you go "with the dice" at craps. You start with a wager on the pass line, then likely add Odds and make Place, Buy, or Come bets after the come-out roll. Your worst nightmare is loading the layout, then watching the seven pop before you've collected anything. It happens. ... (read more)
 

How Realistic Are Your Casino Profit Goals?

1 July 2003
What's the chance of entering a casino with one pile of pelf and leaving with some greater amount, assuming you go for broke? That is, growing stake "S" to fortune "F" before busting out. In the limit, a "fair" game with no edge, the probability equals S divided by F. Bet size doesn't enter into this "ideal" equation. ... (read more)
 

Which Blackjack Hands Put You in the Catbird Seat?

23 June 2003
Some combinations of player totals and dealer upcards at blackjack are favorable, at least when handled properly. Others are adverse regardless of how executed. The junk outnumbers the jems by 11-to-10 based on probabilities of losing and winning. However, the 3-to-2 ... (read more)
 

Side Action Usually Means Sucker Bets, Unless You Win

17 June 2003
Longshots offer big returns for small bets, with odds often so steep that gamblers know their chances are remote and don't worry about how much. Statistically, they're usually sucker bets. But the high payoffs draw lots of folks to the slots and the lotteries. And they encourage side action at casino tables as well. ... (read more)
 

Gamblers Can Be Right by Being Wrong (and Conversely)

10 June 2003
Many gamblers want badly to believe in the Law of The Maturity of Chances. That is, the more often a proposition fails, the more it becomes due to succeed. The proof they cite for this pudding is that the probability of repeated losses tends toward zero as series lengthen, so chances of a win must rise toward certainty. ... (read more)
 

Who Cares If Numbers Have to Roll Twice to Pay on Come Bets?

3 June 2003
Craps players have lots of reasons for making Place rather than Come bets. They want chips all over the layout as soon as a shooter establishes a point, for fear of missing the start of a hot roll. Their daughter was born at 5:55 on 5/5/55 so five is their lucky number. They can't ... (read more)
 

Why "the Book" Says What It Does for Aces, Eights, and 11s vs Aces

27 May 2003
Every blackjack buff has heard the hortation: "always split aces and eights regardless of the dealer up-card; always double on totals of 11 except against aces." Yet many bettors question it. Realizing that a 10 in the hole renders any choices moot, they wonder about wasting twice as ... (read more)
 

Multi-Hand Video Poker: Jackpot or Jack-in-the-Box?

20 May 2003
Video poker was a genuine breakthrough in slot machines. Previous advances were in the bowels of the banditos, mechanical then electronic innovations that raised reliability and versatility. But they offered little apparent change other than wider ranges of probabilities and consequent ... (read more)
 

How to Maximize Your Edge when You Act as Banker

13 May 2003
In most casino table games, the house functions as Banker. This means that the dealer opposes all patrons, who act as Players, paying winners and collecting from losers. The casino earns its profit in these games by one or both of two means: a) payoffs are slightly below the odds ... (read more)
 

We have seen the future of gambling, and it's TACKIE.

6 May 2003
Gaming industry executives were recently treated to a preview of Totally Automated Casino and Keno Interactive Entertainment (TACKIE). The movers and shakers predict that TACKIE facilities will soon replace the outmoded punting palaces of yesteryear. TACKIE installations ... (read more)

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Alan Krigman
Alan Krigman was a weekly syndicated newspaper gaming columnist and Editor & Publisher of Winning Ways, a monthly newsletter for casino aficionados. His columns focused on gambling probability and statistics. He passed away in October, 2013.
Alan Krigman
Alan Krigman was a weekly syndicated newspaper gaming columnist and Editor & Publisher of Winning Ways, a monthly newsletter for casino aficionados. His columns focused on gambling probability and statistics. He passed away in October, 2013.