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Gaming Guru
Why It's Worthwhile to Check Video Poker Payout Schedules6 August 2002
Identifying statistically attractive configurations was easier when the selection was smaller and the choices narrower. The task is now confounded by a bewildering bevy of bonuses for anointed hands, as well as games with several simultaneous games offering rich rewards for results such as royals at multiple positions. Does it really matter? Do the nuances - small fractions here or there - make any practical difference? To the casinos, certainly. If 10,000 players cycle $10,000,000 through the machines in a month, 96 percent return is expected to leave $400,000 in profit while 95 percent should yield $500,000. To the rare stalwarts who make careers of video poker, a percentage point up or down can also have a major impact. But not many solid citizens, even those who play enough to earn zirconium club privileges and tasteless gifts, reach a level where the house advantage overwhelms the fluctuations inherent in the game. What about the more typical players, who come to gamble not thinking about lifetime wins or losses, but about their chances of success here and now? There's no single answer because people don't all play the same way. But you can get a handle on the effect of variations in payout schedule in terms of a model session at a plain vanilla no-bonus jacks-or-better game. Say you start with a bankroll equal to 200 bets. Perhaps $250 for a $0.25 machine, five coins at a time. Assume you want to play either until you earn 1,000 units profit - $1,250 for the proposed situation - or, if not, stay for at least four hours. Most maximum-coin jacks-or-better payouts differ only on full houses and flushes. Royals pay 800-for-1, straight flushes 50-for-1, quads 25-for-1, straights 4-for-1, triplets 3-for-1, two pairs 2-for-1, and high pairs 1-for-1. On "9/6" machines, full houses pay 9-for-1 and flushes 6-for-1; returns are 99.5 percent. On "8/6" machines, it's 8-for-1 on full houses and 6-for-1 on flushes, returning 98.4 percent. The "8/5" games, with 8-for-1 on full houses and 5-for-1 on flushes, return 97.5 percent. And they don't sink far below "6/5," at 6-for-1 on full houses and 5-for-1 on flushes, overall return being 95.0 percent.
The figures show that the chance of winning 1,000 units before losing 200 is scant in any case, even on a machine that returns close to 100 percent. But, as low as a 12.7 percent probability at 9/6 video poker might be, it's over twice that of an 8/6 game and almost five times better than the likelihood of scoring as well on an 8/5 machine. Likewise, at 63.6 percent, prospects of a 200-unit stake buying at least four hours on a 6/5 game aren't bad, but 8/6 returns at 72.8 percent are better. The differences are small, but worth trying to find the good games. And, if your old favorite casino is holding back, try next door. Your new favorite has an all-you-can-eat buffet, a carbuncle club, and promotions where they give away toaster ovens, too. As the wryly respected render of irony, Sumner A Ingmark, rhymingly wrote: Someone has to pay the price of what comes free, Recent Articles
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