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Top-10 predictions for this year's World Series of Poker3 June 2013
The World Series of Poker is underway at the Rio All-Suite Hotel & Casino, and there have already been some great story lines. First, a guy brings his dog to the final table and wins. And then the "Millionaire Maker" draws 6,343 players, a record for a single-day entry event. There are sure to be dozens more great story lines in the next six weeks. Last year, I wrote a top-10 list of predictions based on Bodog Sportsbook and Racebook/Bovada Sportsbook & Racebook's World Series of Poker prop bets. Unfortunately, as of press time, Bodog is not offering prop bets on the WSOP. Maybe my 6-3-1 record with a +13.2 percent ROI discouraged them from doing it again. Regardless, here are my top-10 predictions for this year's World Series of Poker. 10. Average attendance in "other" low buy-in NLH events will go down A lot of folks plan their trip out to Las Vegas around the $1,000 and $1,500 no-limit Hold'em events. This year, many people decided to make their pilgrimage to Vegas over the weekend and take a shot at a million-dollar payday. (The winner will actually get close to $1.2 million, thanks to the record-breaking turnout.) We're already seeing this trend. The $1,500 No-Limit Hold'em Six-Handed event saw participation plummet by a third, falling from 1,604 players last year to just 1,069 this year. And last year's $1,500 re-entry event drew 3,404 players, while this year it drew 3,164 (a drop of 7 percent) despite the fact that the buy-in fell to $1,000. There are also more of these events this year. Last year, there were 10, and this year there are 13, and this will further dilute the numbers. Last year, the standard (nine-handed, non-shootout with no rebuys) $1,000 No-Limit Hold'em bracelet events drew an average of 2,941 players, while the same $1,500 events drew an average of 2,730. I expect both of those numbers to drop 15-20 percent, though because of the Millionaire Maker and the increased number of events, overall participation in these tournaments will rise. 9. Little One for One Drop will draw less than 500 players I do think there's a decent chance there will be more than 500 entries, as Daniel Negreanu is likely to play and he has shown that he's willing to gamble it up in rebuy events, and other pros are likely to take a similar approach. But I don't think that there will be a big turnout at this event, unfortunately. 8. Total prize pool at WSOP will go down 7. Total attendance at WSOP will go up 6. No double bracelet winner this year 5. WSOP.com qualifier makes a final table And even if the online site isn't up and running in time to run online satellites into the WSOP, the site is still offering a free seat in 36 events to players who sign up for an account, so I'll still have a shot to hit this one if the site doesn't get off the ground before the end of the series. * As a footnote, I'm hoping that person will be me. And since I'll already be in Las Vegas to cover the One Drop High Roller event, that would be a great time for me to win the WSOP.com lottery. 4. One Drop High Roller event will draw more than 200 players 3. No men will enter the Ladies Event 2. A woman will make Main Event final table 1. Main Event will draw more than 7,000
Top-10 predictions for this year's World Series of Poker
is republished from Online.CasinoCity.com.
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Aaron Todd |
Aaron Todd |