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Best of Dan Podheiser

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Dan's DFS picks for NFL Week 6

15 October 2015

I'm having a so-so NFL season thus far playing daily fantasy sports games, and that's just fine with me.

After my big $40 win in the Week 3 Millionaire Maker, I put up a goose egg in Week 4. But I made a profit on DraftKings last week, no thanks to my utterly "meh" lineup in the weekly $20 lottery. I entered a $50 "Double Up" tournament and binked a cash, leaving me with a $30 net win for the week. I'll take it.

We're back in the saddle in Week 6 and we're taking our chances again in the Millionaire Maker on DraftKings, along with a GPP or two on FanDuel. Go big or go home! (I'll probably go home.)

For a full explanation of the differences between DraftKings and FanDuel scoring, read this blog post by Daily Fantasy Sports 101.

Quarterback: Matthew Stafford, Detroit Lions (DK: $5,300; FD: $6,900)

Matthew Stafford's play has ranged from obscenely terrible to completely average so far during the Lions' 0-5 start. Last week, in a 42-17 home loss to the powerhouse Arizona Cardinals, Stafford was benched early in the third quarter after tossing his third interception of the game.

But Stafford, a gunslinger by nature, won't hold back this week against the hapless Chicago Bears, whom I am picking on with a stack for the third straight week. Last year at home against Chicago, Stafford had one of his best games of the season, completing 34 of 45 passes for 390 yards and a pair of touchdowns. Given his opponent and his deflated price on both sites this week, Stafford is an excellent contrarian pick for GPP tournaments.

Running Back (DK): Danny Woodhead, San Diego Chargers ($4,700)

At +10.5 against the Packers in Green Bay, the Chargers are the biggest underdogs on the books this week, according to Bovada Sportsbook. And if the game plays out like that, you can be sure that NFL passing yard leader Phillip Rivers will be slinging the ball around the field in an effort to cut into his team's deficit.

That's where Woodhead comes in. He won't get more than 10 carries in this game, if not half that, but he is a prime candidate for double-digit targets in the passing game. I think this could be a breakout game for Woodhead, even if it comes in a loss for his team.

Running Back (FD): Eddie Lacy, Green Bay Packers ($7,300)

On the other end of the spectrum, look for Green Bay to give the ball to Lacy, its bruising halfback, to close out an easy victory over the Chargers. Lacy has been quiet by his standards so far this season, having not hit 100 yards on the ground in a game yet while only scoring one touchdown through five weeks. Not to worry, though; this just means his price is more affordable than it would otherwise be, and this is a perfect matchup for Lacy to hit 100 yards rushing and rack up one or more TDs.

Wide Receiver (DK): Calvin Johnson, Detroit Lions ($7,300)

For the same reasons I'm picking Stafford, I'm going with Megatron against the Bears. This price is simply too juicy to pass up for a guy who's still one of the top three wide receivers in the game, going against arguably the worst passing defense in football.

Wide Receiver (FD): Allen Hurns, Jacksonville Jaguars ($6,500)

Hurns has emerged as a stud second wide receiver in Jacksonville alongside Allen Robinson. The duo has paired with second-year quarterback Blake Bortles to form the most fearsome tandem of young offensive players in the NFL.

Hurns has exactly 116 receiving yards and a touchdown in each of the last two games, including his breakout 11-catch performance against the Colts in Week 4. This week, the Jags go up against the Texans, who have been pretty awful in pass coverage this year, despite their star-studded defensive front. I like Bortles to have a big day targeting both of his young wideouts, and I'll take Hurns for my team simply because of his more affordable price.

Tight End: Greg Olsen, Carolina Panthers (DK: $5,500; FD: $6,300)

Olsen gets what might look like a tough matchup this week in the Seattle Seahawks, but in reality, Seattle has been pretty awful against tight ends this year. Just look at what Tyler Eifert did to Kam Chancellor last weekend in Cincinnati.

Olsen, who remains Carolina quarterback Cam Newton's lone reliable target, should get most of the offensive attention in short yardage and goal line situations. He might not reach 100 yards receiving in this game, but I'll be surprised if he doesn't find the end zone.

Defense: New York Jets (DK: $3,100; FD: $4,800)

There isn't a great matchup on the board this week for defenses, so I'll take the Jets against the Redskins in what should be a low-scoring game with a few turnovers for each side. In reality, I'm betting on Washington quarterback Kirk Cousins to make mistakes. It's bound to happen eventually!
Dan's DFS picks for NFL Week 6 is republished from Online.CasinoCity.com.
Dan Podheiser

Dan Podheiser has covered the gambling industry since 2013, but he has been an avid poker player for more than a decade, starting when he was just 14 years old. When he turned 18, he played online poker regularly on U.S.-friendly sites until Black Friday in April 2011.

Since graduating from Emerson College with a degree in journalism in 2010, Dan has worked as the sports editor for a chain of newspapers in Northwest Connecticut and served a year as an Americorps*VISTA, writing and researching grant proposals for a Boston-based charity.

Originally from South Jersey, where he still visits occasionally to see his family (and play on the state's regulated online poker sites), Dan lives in Brighton, Mass. with his wife and dog.
Dan Podheiser
Dan Podheiser has covered the gambling industry since 2013, but he has been an avid poker player for more than a decade, starting when he was just 14 years old. When he turned 18, he played online poker regularly on U.S.-friendly sites until Black Friday in April 2011.

Since graduating from Emerson College with a degree in journalism in 2010, Dan has worked as the sports editor for a chain of newspapers in Northwest Connecticut and served a year as an Americorps*VISTA, writing and researching grant proposals for a Boston-based charity.

Originally from South Jersey, where he still visits occasionally to see his family (and play on the state's regulated online poker sites), Dan lives in Brighton, Mass. with his wife and dog.